17 Phase I Steady-State Modeling Results Issued February 2001 No pipeline delivery constraints on a peak day in Winter 2000-01 No summer peak day pipeline deliverability constraints through 2005 Gas delivery constraints become apparent in Winter 2003 –Shortfall in gas requirements  1,755 MW out of 7,550 MW assumed Gas delivery constraints intensify by Winter 2005 –Shortfall in gas requirements  3,226 MW out of 11,500 MW assumed Theoretical mitigation potential thru back-up fuel: Winter 2003 - 71 gas-fired units totaling 16,000 MW - 51 dual fueled totaling 9,250 MW Winter 2005 - 75 gas-fired units totaling 18,650 MW - 54 dual fueled totaling 11,500 MW Gas Study
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